feat(0.1.16-P1): 资源闭环引擎（修为耗草/炼丹概率化/铸器/灵脉收益/NPC战力/灾变落效）+ C13C14

【A 经济闭环】
- 修为经济化：练气以上修行者月耗灵草（闭关2普通1），无草速修0.6~1.0衰减+缺草年告警
- 炼丹等级化：bonusOf 表达式引擎（白名单安全求值），craftChance 转正；丹方单源 PILL_RECIPES（聚气L1/凝元L2/破境L3）+ 失败折半退料
- 炼器筑宝：FORGE_RECIPES（法器/灵器/法宝，灵矿+兽核+灵石）
- 秘境灵脉：secretQiOf→rollWarbooty 收益门槛（0.5~1.3折算）；掉落按秘境 techGrades 过滤
- NPC 实力参战：raid 强度/风险随 npc.power 浮动（0.5~1.8）
- 灾年落效：疫病/兽潮一次性袭击 + CALAMITY_FAMILY 月度减产乘子

【C 治理】
- C13 破境丹渡劫修正：大境界时药力→tribBoost 加成（+12%）入渡劫事件，不再跳过三选
- C14 存储防线：loadState 补 migrate；MigrationError（TOO_NEW/未知版本）提示升级

【UI 半批】
- 坊市新增 定制tab（丹方/铸器）；ChroniclePanel 手写史书输入条；MemberModal 册立家主钮
- 年报摘要（要闻5条+辞世讣告）；EventModal 选项收益预览
- 结盟引擎：setAlliance（relation≥40）/盟友岁差不降/年利15灵石

src/renderer/ui/panels/MarketPanel.tsx

@@ -3,6 +3,8 @@ import { ITEMS } from '../../game/data/items'
 import { TECHNIQUES } from '../../game/data/techniques'
 import { techniqueGradeName } from '../../game/data/realms'
 import { marketPrice, buyItem, sellItem, buyTechnique } from '../../game/engine/sim/Market'
+import { PILL_RECIPES, FORGE_RECIPES } from '../../game/data/items'
+import { bonusOf } from '../../game/data/buildings'
 import { useMemo, useState } from 'react'
 
 export default function MarketPanel() {
@@ -10,7 +12,7 @@ export default function MarketPanel() {
   const bump = useGameStore((s) => s.bump)
   const revision = useGameStore((s) => s.revision)
   void revision
-  const [tab, setTab] = useState<'goods' | 'tech'>('goods')
+  const [tab, setTab] = useState<'goods' | 'tech' | 'craft'>('goods')
   if (!world) return null
   const w = world
   const fam = w.state.family
@@ -28,6 +30,7 @@ export default function MarketPanel() {
       <div className="tabs" style={{ padding: 0, background: 'none', border: 'none', marginBottom: 10 }}>
         <div className={`tab ${tab === 'goods' ? 'sel' : ''}`} onClick={() => setTab('goods')}>货栈</div>
         <div className={`tab ${tab === 'tech' ? 'sel' : ''}`} onClick={() => setTab('tech')}>法帖</div>
+        <div className={`tab ${tab === 'craft' ? 'sel' : ''}`} onClick={() => setTab('craft')}>定制</div>
       </div>
       {tab === 'goods' && (
         <>
@@ -90,30 +93,7 @@ export default function MarketPanel() {
                   </tr>
                 )
               })}
-              <tr>
-                <td><b><span className="s-icon">炼</span> 丹房炼制</b></td>
-                <td className="dim">灵草+辅矿 → 丹药（丹房等级越高成数越足）</td>
-                <td className="dim">{fam.buildings['danfang'] ? `${fam.buildings['danfang']}级丹房` : '未建丹房'}</td>
-                <td className="dim">灵草{inv['lingcao'] ?? 0}</td>
-                <td>
-                  {fam.buildings['danfang'] && (
-                    <>
-                      <button
-                        className="btn btn-sm"
-                        disabled={(inv['lingcao'] ?? 0) < 15 || fam.stones < 20}
-                        title="需灵草15+灵石20"
-                        onClick={() => { w.craftPill('qiyuan'); bump() }}
-                      >炼气丹</button>{' '}
-                      <button
-                        className="btn btn-sm"
-                        disabled={(inv['lingcao'] ?? 0) < 25 || (inv['beastcore'] ?? 0) < 4 || fam.stones < 60}
-                        title="需灵草25+兽核4+灵石60"
-                        onClick={() => { w.craftPill('ningyuan'); bump() }}
-                      >炼元丹</button>
-                    </>
-                  )}
-                </td>
-              </tr>
+
             </tbody>
           </table>
         </>
@@ -173,6 +153,72 @@ export default function MarketPanel() {
           </table>
         </>
       )}
+      {tab === 'craft' && (
+        <>
+          <div className="help-text">
+            丹房依「灵草+兽核+灵石」配比丹药，成数随丹房等级；破境丹需丹房三级。炼器以灵矿兽核+灵石相合，无建筑门槛，只看家底。
+          </div>
+          <h4 className="dim" style={{ margin: '8px 0 4px' }}>丹房炼制（当前 {fam.buildings['danfang'] ?? 0} 级 · 成率 {Math.round(bonusOf('danfang', 'craftChance', fam.buildings['danfang'] ?? 0) * 100)}%）</h4>
+          <table className="market-table">
+            <thead>
+              <tr><th>丹方</th><th>药性</th><th>配方</th><th>门槛</th><th></th></tr>
+            </thead>
+            <tbody>
+              {PILL_RECIPES.map((r) => {
+                const lvl = fam.buildings['danfang'] ?? 0
+                const enough = (inv['lingcao'] ?? 0) >= r.lingcao && (inv['beastcore'] ?? 0) >= r.beastcore && fam.stones >= r.stones
+                return (
+                  <tr key={r.output}>
+                    <td><b><span className="s-icon">丹</span> {r.name}</b></td>
+                    <td className="dim">{r.desc}</td>
+                    <td className="dim">草{r.lingcao}·核{r.beastcore}·灵石{r.stones}</td>
+                    <td className="dim">{r.danfangLevel}级丹房</td>
+                    <td>
+                      <button
+                        className="btn btn-sm"
+                        disabled={lvl < r.danfangLevel || !enough}
+                        title={lvl < r.danfangLevel ? `丹房需升到 ${r.danfangLevel} 级` : enough ? '炼制（失败折半退料）' : '材料不足'}
+                        onClick={() => { w.craftPill(r.output.replace('pill-', '') as 'qiyuan' | 'ningyuan' | 'pojing'); bump() }}
+                      >炼</button>
+                    </td>
+                  </tr>
+                )
+              })}
+            </tbody>
+          </table>
+          <h4 className="dim" style={{ margin: '14px 0 4px' }}>铸器坊（灵矿+兽核+灵石 → 兵刃）</h4>
+          <table className="market-table">
+            <thead>
+              <tr><th>兵刃</th><th>妙用</th><th>配方</th><th></th></tr>
+            </thead>
+            <tbody>
+              {FORGE_RECIPES.map((r) => {
+                const enough = (inv['lingkuang'] ?? 0) >= r.lingkuang && (inv['beastcore'] ?? 0) >= r.beastcore && fam.stones >= r.stones
+                return (
+                  <tr key={r.output}>
+                    <td><b><span className="s-icon">器</span> {r.name}</b></td>
+                    <td className="dim">{r.desc}</td>
+                    <td className="dim">矿{r.lingkuang}·核{r.beastcore}·灵石{r.stones}</td>
+                    <td>
+                      <button
+                        className="btn btn-sm"
+                        disabled={!enough}
+                        title={enough ? '淬火铸成' : '材料不足'}
+                        onClick={() => { w.forgeArtifact(r.output as 'weapon-qi' | 'weapon-ling' | 'weapon-fa'); bump() }}
+                      >铸</button>
+                    </td>
+                  </tr>
+                )
+              })}
+            </tbody>
+          </table>
+          {(fam.buildings['danfang'] ?? 0) > 0 && (
+            <div className="dim2" style={{ marginTop: 8 }}>
+              破境丹亦可等拍卖会落槌（需要时留神百年拍卖）。
+            </div>
+          )}
+        </>
+      )}
       <div className="dim2" style={{ marginTop: 10 }}>
         灵矿不足时可上坊市民间收购；妖丹于探秘与灵兽园中可得。
       </div>