feat(0.1.16-P1): 资源闭环引擎（修为耗草/炼丹概率化/铸器/灵脉收益/NPC战力/灾变落效）+ C13C14

【A 经济闭环】
- 修为经济化：练气以上修行者月耗灵草（闭关2普通1），无草速修0.6~1.0衰减+缺草年告警
- 炼丹等级化：bonusOf 表达式引擎（白名单安全求值），craftChance 转正；丹方单源 PILL_RECIPES（聚气L1/凝元L2/破境L3）+ 失败折半退料
- 炼器筑宝：FORGE_RECIPES（法器/灵器/法宝，灵矿+兽核+灵石）
- 秘境灵脉：secretQiOf→rollWarbooty 收益门槛（0.5~1.3折算）；掉落按秘境 techGrades 过滤
- NPC 实力参战：raid 强度/风险随 npc.power 浮动（0.5~1.8）
- 灾年落效：疫病/兽潮一次性袭击 + CALAMITY_FAMILY 月度减产乘子

【C 治理】
- C13 破境丹渡劫修正：大境界时药力→tribBoost 加成（+12%）入渡劫事件，不再跳过三选
- C14 存储防线：loadState 补 migrate；MigrationError（TOO_NEW/未知版本）提示升级

【UI 半批】
- 坊市新增 定制tab（丹方/铸器）；ChroniclePanel 手写史书输入条；MemberModal 册立家主钮
- 年报摘要（要闻5条+辞世讣告）；EventModal 选项收益预览
- 结盟引擎：setAlliance（relation≥40）/盟友岁差不降/年利15灵石

src/renderer/game/engine/runtime/Systems/combat.ts

@@ -165,15 +165,18 @@ export function resolveRaid(
 ): EncounterResult {
   const npc = w.state.npcFamilies[npcId]
   const def = npcById(npcId)
+  // 宗主实力分层：power 由年度成长+换代驱动，劫掠强度随之浮动（0.5↔1.8）
+  const npcPower = npc.power ?? 60
+  const strength = Math.min(1.8, Math.max(0.5, 0.5 + (npcPower / 120) * 0.5))
   const enemy: EnemyDef = {
     id: npcId,
     name: `${npc.name}的劫掠队`,
     realm: def.leaderRealm,
-    strength: 0.78,
+    strength,
     icon: '袭',
     desc: def.desc
   }
-  const risk = 0.55
+  const risk = Math.min(0.75, 0.5 + (npcPower / 120) * 0.1)
   const res = resolveEncounter(w, {
     title: `${npc.name}来袭！`,
     enemy,
@@ -198,23 +201,29 @@ export function resolveRaid(
   return res
 }
 
-export function rollWarbooty(w: World, loot: LootDef): Record<string, number> {
+export function rollWarbooty(w: World, loot: LootDef, qiRatio = 1): Record<string, number> {
   const result: Record<string, number> = {}
   for (const [k, r] of Object.entries(loot.resources)) {
-    const v = w.rng.int(r[0], r[1])
+    const v = Math.round(w.rng.int(r[0], r[1]) * qiRatio)
     result[k] = v
     w.state.family.inventory[k] = (w.state.family.inventory[k] ?? 0) + v
   }
-  if (loot.artifactChance && w.rng.chance(loot.artifactChance)) {
+  const itemFactor = Math.min(1.4, Math.max(0.5, 0.6 + 0.4 * qiRatio))
+  if (loot.artifactChance && w.rng.chance(loot.artifactChance * itemFactor)) {
     const pool = ['weapon-fan', 'weapon-qi', 'weapon-ling']
     const a = w.rng.pick(pool)
     w.state.family.inventory[a] = (w.state.family.inventory[a] ?? 0) + 1
     result[a] = 1
   }
-  if (loot.techniqueChance && w.rng.chance(loot.techniqueChance)) {
-    const t = w.rng.pick(pack().techniques)
-    w.state.family.techniques.push(t.id)
-    result['tech'] = 1
+  if (loot.techniqueChance && w.rng.chance(loot.techniqueChance * itemFactor)) {
+    const pool = loot.techGrades && loot.techGrades.length > 0
+      ? pack().techniques.filter((t) => loot.techGrades!.includes(t.grade))
+      : pack().techniques
+    if (pool.length > 0) {
+      const t = w.rng.pick(pool)
+      w.state.family.techniques.push(t.id)
+      result['tech'] = 1
+    }
   }
   return result
 }