feat(0.1.16-P1): 资源闭环引擎（修为耗草/炼丹概率化/铸器/灵脉收益/NPC战力/灾变落效）+ C13C14

【A 经济闭环】
- 修为经济化：练气以上修行者月耗灵草（闭关2普通1），无草速修0.6~1.0衰减+缺草年告警
- 炼丹等级化：bonusOf 表达式引擎（白名单安全求值），craftChance 转正；丹方单源 PILL_RECIPES（聚气L1/凝元L2/破境L3）+ 失败折半退料
- 炼器筑宝：FORGE_RECIPES（法器/灵器/法宝，灵矿+兽核+灵石）
- 秘境灵脉：secretQiOf→rollWarbooty 收益门槛（0.5~1.3折算）；掉落按秘境 techGrades 过滤
- NPC 实力参战：raid 强度/风险随 npc.power 浮动（0.5~1.8）
- 灾年落效：疫病/兽潮一次性袭击 + CALAMITY_FAMILY 月度减产乘子

【C 治理】
- C13 破境丹渡劫修正：大境界时药力→tribBoost 加成（+12%）入渡劫事件，不再跳过三选
- C14 存储防线：loadState 补 migrate；MigrationError（TOO_NEW/未知版本）提示升级

【UI 半批】
- 坊市新增 定制tab（丹方/铸器）；ChroniclePanel 手写史书输入条；MemberModal 册立家主钮
- 年报摘要（要闻5条+辞世讣告）；EventModal 选项收益预览
- 结盟引擎：setAlliance（relation≥40）/盟友岁差不降/年利15灵石

src/renderer/game/engine/runtime/Systems/combat.ts

@@ -165,15 +165,18 @@ export function resolveRaid(
 ): EncounterResult {
   const npc = w.state.npcFamilies[npcId]
   const def = npcById(npcId)
+  // 宗主实力分层：power 由年度成长+换代驱动，劫掠强度随之浮动（0.5↔1.8）
+  const npcPower = npc.power ?? 60
+  const strength = Math.min(1.8, Math.max(0.5, 0.5 + (npcPower / 120) * 0.5))
   const enemy: EnemyDef = {
     id: npcId,
     name: `${npc.name}的劫掠队`,
     realm: def.leaderRealm,
-    strength: 0.78,
+    strength,
     icon: '袭',
     desc: def.desc
   }
-  const risk = 0.55
+  const risk = Math.min(0.75, 0.5 + (npcPower / 120) * 0.1)
   const res = resolveEncounter(w, {
     title: `${npc.name}来袭！`,
     enemy,
@@ -198,23 +201,29 @@ export function resolveRaid(
   return res
 }
 
-export function rollWarbooty(w: World, loot: LootDef): Record<string, number> {
+export function rollWarbooty(w: World, loot: LootDef, qiRatio = 1): Record<string, number> {
   const result: Record<string, number> = {}
   for (const [k, r] of Object.entries(loot.resources)) {
-    const v = w.rng.int(r[0], r[1])
+    const v = Math.round(w.rng.int(r[0], r[1]) * qiRatio)
     result[k] = v
     w.state.family.inventory[k] = (w.state.family.inventory[k] ?? 0) + v
   }
-  if (loot.artifactChance && w.rng.chance(loot.artifactChance)) {
+  const itemFactor = Math.min(1.4, Math.max(0.5, 0.6 + 0.4 * qiRatio))
+  if (loot.artifactChance && w.rng.chance(loot.artifactChance * itemFactor)) {
     const pool = ['weapon-fan', 'weapon-qi', 'weapon-ling']
     const a = w.rng.pick(pool)
     w.state.family.inventory[a] = (w.state.family.inventory[a] ?? 0) + 1
     result[a] = 1
   }
-  if (loot.techniqueChance && w.rng.chance(loot.techniqueChance)) {
-    const t = w.rng.pick(pack().techniques)
-    w.state.family.techniques.push(t.id)
-    result['tech'] = 1
+  if (loot.techniqueChance && w.rng.chance(loot.techniqueChance * itemFactor)) {
+    const pool = loot.techGrades && loot.techGrades.length > 0
+      ? pack().techniques.filter((t) => loot.techGrades!.includes(t.grade))
+      : pack().techniques
+    if (pool.length > 0) {
+      const t = w.rng.pick(pool)
+      w.state.family.techniques.push(t.id)
+      result['tech'] = 1
+    }
   }
   return result
 }

src/renderer/game/engine/runtime/Systems/cultivation.ts

@@ -11,11 +11,12 @@ import { newCharacter } from '../pcgen'
 import { MALE_GIVEN, FEMALE_GIVEN } from '../../kernel/names'
 import { ASPIRATION_IDS } from '../../../data/aspirations'
 import { seasonMod } from '../../../data/season'
+import { bonusOf } from '../../../data/buildings'
 import { needsTribulation, tribulationEventId } from './tribulation'
 
-export function monthlyRate(w: World, c: Character): number {
+export function monthlyRate(w: World, c: Character, herbFactor = 1): number {
   const st = w.state
-  let rate = 1
+  let rate = herbFactor
   rate *= 1.0 + c.perception * 0.18
   rate *= ROOT_GRADES[c.roots.grade]?.expBonus ?? 0.5
   const tech = techniqueById(c.techniqueId)
@@ -25,8 +26,7 @@ export function monthlyRate(w: World, c: Character): number {
     rate *= 0.65
   }
   const buildings = st.family.buildings
-  const juling = buildings['juling'] ?? 0
-  rate *= 1 + juling * 0.05
+  rate *= 1 + bonusOf('juling', 'expBonus', buildings['juling'] ?? 0)
   if (w.sysEnabled('season')) rate *= 1 + seasonMod(st.month, 'cult')
   rate *= 1 + w.postBonus('expAll')
   if (st.family.flag['fengFeiBless']) rate *= 1.05
@@ -37,8 +37,7 @@ export function monthlyRate(w: World, c: Character): number {
   if (c.state === 'meditation') {
     rate *= 1.35
     rate *= 1 + w.postBonus('meditation') + (w.sysEnabled('season') ? seasonMod(st.month, 'meditation') : 0)
-    const dongfu = buildings['dongfu'] ?? 0
-    rate *= 1 + dongfu * 0.08
+    rate *= 1 + bonusOf('dongfu', 'expBonus', buildings['dongfu'] ?? 0)
   } else if (c.state === 'expedition') {
     rate *= 0.25
   } else if (c.state === 'wounded') {
@@ -68,9 +67,29 @@ export function cultivationTick(w: World): void {
       c.aspiration = w.rng.pick(ASPIRATION_IDS)
     }
   }
+  // ---- A1 修为经济化：灵草是修行燃料 ----
+  const inv = w.state.family.inventory
+  let demand = 0
   for (const c of Object.values(w.state.members)) {
     if (!c.alive || c.state === 'apprentice') continue
-    const rate = monthlyRate(w, c)
+    if (c.realm.major === 'mortal') continue
+    demand += c.state === 'meditation' ? 2 : 1
+  }
+  let herbFactor = 1
+  if (demand > 0) {
+    const supply = inv.lingcao ?? 0
+    const used = Math.min(supply, demand)
+    inv.lingcao = supply - used
+    const ratio = supply >= demand ? 1 : supply / demand
+    herbFactor = 0.6 + 0.4 * ratio
+    if (ratio < 0.5 && w.state.family.flag['herbWarnYear'] !== w.state.year) {
+      w.state.family.flag['herbWarnYear'] = w.state.year
+      w.log('bad', '灵草告罄，族中修行渐缓——需扩灵田药园或购草补续。')
+    }
+  }
+  for (const c of Object.values(w.state.members)) {
+    if (!c.alive || c.state === 'apprentice') continue
+    const rate = monthlyRate(w, c, herbFactor)
     if (rate <= 0) continue
     c.realmProgress = Math.min(100, c.realmProgress + rate)
     // 悟道进度：有功法且修为之外，另积一分慧根

src/renderer/game/engine/runtime/Systems/diplomacy.ts

@@ -7,7 +7,7 @@ export function diplomacyTick(w: World): void {
   const drift = w.rng.chance(0.15)
   for (const npc of Object.values(s.npcFamilies)) {
     if (drift) {
-      if (npc.relation > 0) npc.relation -= 1
+      if (npc.relation > 0 && !npc.allied) npc.relation -= 1
       else if (npc.relation < 0) npc.relation += 1
     }
     if (npc.relation < -50) {
@@ -25,6 +25,10 @@ export function yearGrowth(w: World): void {
     const def = npcById(npc.id)
     const [a, b] = def.powerGrowth
     npc.power += w.rng.int(a, b)
+    if (npc.allied) {
+      w.state.family.stones += 15
+      w.log('info', `同盟${npc.name}遣使来贺，赠灵石15（结盟年利）。`)
+    }
   }
 }
 

src/renderer/game/engine/runtime/Systems/missions.ts

@@ -36,7 +36,7 @@ export function missionTick(w: World): void {
         if (victim.health < 35) victim.state = 'wounded'
       }
     } else if (stage.kind === 'resource') {
-      const loot = rollWarbooty(w, stage.loot ?? def.completionLoot)
+      const loot = rollWarbooty(w, stage.loot ?? def.completionLoot, qiRatioOf(w, def.id))
       m.log.push(`${stage.title}：收获 ${lootText(loot)}。`)
     } else if (stage.kind === 'combat' || stage.kind === 'boss') {
       const enemy = ENEMIES.find((e) => e.id === stage.enemyId) ?? ENEMIES[0]
@@ -69,7 +69,7 @@ export function missionTick(w: World): void {
       m.done = true
       m.result = 'success'
       releaseSquad(w, m)
-      const total = rollWarbooty(w, def.completionLoot)
+      const total = rollWarbooty(w, def.completionLoot, qiRatioOf(w, def.id))
       m.log.push(`凯旋而归，清点战利：${lootText(total)}。`)
       const survivors = squadOf(w, m).filter((c) => c.alive).map((c) => c.name).join('、')
       w.chronicle(
@@ -120,6 +120,11 @@ export function canSendMission(w: World, def: MissionDef, members: string[]): bo
   return w.state.missions.filter((m) => !m.done).length < 3
 }
 
+function qiRatioOf(w: World, missionId: string): number {
+  const qi = new WorldSim(w).secretQiOf(missionId)
+  return Math.min(1.5, Math.max(0.5, 0.5 + qi / 125))
+}
+
 export function sendMission(w: World, defId: string, members: string[], formation?: FormationId): boolean {
   const def = missionById(defId)
   if (!canSendMission(w, def, members)) return false

src/renderer/game/engine/runtime/Systems/production.ts

@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 import type { World } from '../World'
 import { aspirationById } from '../../../data/aspirations'
 import { seasonMod } from '../../../data/season'
+import { CALAMITY_FAMILY } from '../../sim/worldsim-data'
 
 export function productionTick(w: World): void {
   const fam = w.state.family
@@ -17,13 +18,17 @@ export function productionTick(w: World): void {
   const fielders = w.aliveMembers().filter((c) => aspirationById(c.aspiration)?.effect.type === 'field').length
   const merchants = w.aliveMembers().filter((c) => aspirationById(c.aspiration)?.effect.type === 'market').length
   const springMod = w.sysEnabled('season') ? seasonMod(w.state.month, 'field') : 0
+  // 灾年减产（CALAMITY_FAMILY 乘量）
+  const cl = w.state.worldSim?.calamity as (keyof typeof CALAMITY_FAMILY) | undefined
+  const farmFactor = cl ? (CALAMITY_FAMILY[cl]?.lingcao ?? 1) : 1
+  const mineFactor = cl ? (CALAMITY_FAMILY[cl]?.lingkuang ?? 1) : 1
   if (lingtian > 0) {
-    const v = Math.round(10 * lingtian * (1 + fielders * 0.05 + springMod))
+    const v = Math.round(10 * lingtian * (1 + fielders * 0.05 + springMod) * farmFactor)
     inv.lingcao = (inv.lingcao ?? 0) + v
     parts.push(`灵田+${v}灵草`)
   }
   if (yaoyuan > 0) {
-    const v = 5 * yaoyuan
+    const v = Math.round(5 * yaoyuan * farmFactor)
     inv.lingcao = (inv.lingcao ?? 0) + v
     parts.push(`药园+${v}药草`)
     if (yaoyuan >= 3) {
@@ -32,7 +37,7 @@ export function productionTick(w: World): void {
     }
   }
   if (lingkuang > 0) {
-    const v = 8 * lingkuang
+    const v = Math.round(8 * lingkuang * mineFactor)
     inv.lingkuang = (inv.lingkuang ?? 0) + v
     parts.push(`灵矿+${v}灵矿`)
   }

src/renderer/game/engine/runtime/Systems/tribulation.ts

@@ -21,7 +21,8 @@ export function resolveTribulation(w: World, c: Character, mode: 'rash' | 'guard
 
   if (mode === 'delay') {
     c.tribDelayYear = w.state.year + 1
-    w.log('info', `${c.name} 按兵不动，引而不发，待来年再渡。`)
+    c.tribBoost = 0
+    w.log('info', `${c.name} 按兵不动，引而不发，待来年再渡（丹力渐散）。`)
     return 'delayed'
   }
 
@@ -90,5 +91,5 @@ export function perTribChance(w: World, c: Character): number {
     nascent: 0.36,
     spirit: 0.26
   } as Record<string, number>)[c.realm.major] ?? 0.9
-  return Math.min(0.92, base + c.mind * 0.01 + c.health / 400)
+  return Math.min(0.92, base + c.mind * 0.01 + c.health / 400 + (c.tribBoost ?? 0))
 }